Tehran, 29 June 2024- As Iran's presidential election results begin to surface, speculation is mounting about a potential return to power for the reformist faction. This speculation has been fueled by the findings of a confidential survey reviewed by Middle East-based media outlet, Middle East Eye.

The "Private Republican Guard Polling" survey suggests that reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian could secure the highest number of votes in the election. Although this data has not been publicly disclosed, it has sparked widespread discussion about the possibility of a reformist resurgence in Tehran.

According to the survey, Pezeshkian is projected to receive 37 percent of the vote. This could position him favorably for a run-off, as he is the sole reformist among the current candidates. Under Iran's electoral system, a candidate must obtain 50 percent of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate reaches this threshold, the election proceeds to a run-off between the top two contenders. 

Another poll conducted by Ferdowsi University in Mashhad indicates that Pezeshkian could garner 42.3 percent of the vote. This further strengthens the belief that he stands a strong chance of leading in a run-off election scheduled for July 5.

Despite conservatives maintaining a grip on power in recent years, Pezeshkian's candidacy has reignited hope among reformists. Former reformist President Mohammad Khatami has endorsed Pezeshkian, praising him as an "honest, just, and caring" leader.

The final outcome remains to be seen, but the potential for a significant shift in Iran's political landscape is creating a buzz both domestically and internationally.